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Cake day: October 23rd, 2024

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  • Israel has always controlled the US by playing both parties. Since Oct 7th, all money is for GOP, and any left over is for DNC to lose on purpose, while still fully praising genocide-lite. This blatant Israel-only-desperate war short circuting Mossad agent US negotiations with Iran, with top national security official resigning over Israel first war, and Marco Rubio admitting Israel forced the US to obey orders, puts the US in a vulnerable position of being caught pants down with Netanyahu’s cock in their throat.

    US establishment’s eagerness to be under absolute Israel control is unshakable, and so massive opportunities to control narrative, and punish detractors, is certain. However, absolute impotence towards Iran’s will, and reality, is a bigger force facing US politics.


  • SoH is not closed. GCC production/export capacity is not completely zero yet. Iran controls it though. If US doesn’t agree to peace, then any food/water imports to GCC and oil exports getting a 10% Iran tax/toll is a better deal for everyone than not letting shipping go through. Gulf oil has hit $165/bbl today. A month ago, GCC was happy getting $65/bbl. They are happy at any number “net” in between, as are their Asian customers. Paying in Yuan is not a “showstopper” problem for any of them.

    US language is rapidly de escalating, if you look for it.








  • First, Israel’s only objective is to destroy Iran so that any moral opinion against Genocide is without “moral authority”, and is why all progress in negotiations get short circuited by another war.

    Second, US can “declare victory” by negotiating a nuclear deal with Iran, and for Iran removal of all embargoes/sanctions and assurance this doesn’t start again in a few years is also victory.

    Simple solution: US buys enriched uranium from Iran for $10m/kg, with possibly a tapered amount over long term. $50M/kg is still a better deal than uniting world against US.

    If the US refuses ceasefire with Israel control, the global economic collapse is avoidable by world renting an IRGC soldier for say $10m per trip, to guide the ship through Iran’s coastline with big fat Iranian flag on the ship. Ships need Iranian insurance not Zionazi axis insurance.

    The US was unable to resolve Yemen blockade against unfriendly ships in Red Sea. Iran has 20-50x Yemen’s rebel capabilities. The naval escort fantasy only results in extreme humiliation for US.





  • Iran could end the war independently with US than with Israel. US/Trump’s ego needs denuclearization and opening of Straits.

    Iran needs no more embargoes. There is a price that they can sell enriched uranium to US. Guarantees against no more future attacks can come with reperations/reconstruction cash as goodwill, to later be swapped with US investment. Let congress vote on affirming into law no more attack on Iran without 60% majority. Even if US lies about future intentions for peace, Iran missile production will outpace the US’s, and cash (even as prepayment for future investment) goes a long way to ensuring another future defeat with forfeiting of US interests/ownership in Iran.

    For the Israel front, the US/GCC/NATO could push back on some of those terms to pressure Israel to stop. Board of Peace chair given to Iran. world embargo on Israel, arrest/IDF fragging of Netanyahu, 1990s track for 2 state or greater multicultural constitutional Palestine solution. Israeli enthusiasm for genocide is conditional on the illusion of protection from all inconvenience from blowback of the unchosen.