

- 7-zip
- VLC
- OBS
- Firefox did it only to mostly falter to Chrome but Chrome is largely Chromium which is open source.
- Linux (superseded all the Unix, very severely curtailed Windows Server market)
- Nearly all programming language tools (IDEs, Compilers, Interpreters)
- Essentially all command line ecosystem (obviously on the *nix side, but MS was pretty much compelled to open source Powershell and their new Terminal to try to compete)
In some contexts you aren’t going to have a lively enough community to drive a compelling product even as there’s enough revenue to facilitate a company to make a go of it, but to say ‘no open source software has acheived that’ is a bit much.
Eh, analogy will be imperfect due to nuance, but I’d say it is close.
The big deals are:
I also think this is on the back of a fairly long relatively stagnant run. After the folks saw the leap from GPT2 to ChatGPT they assumed a future of similar dramatic leaps, but have instead gotten increasingly modest refinements. So against a backdrop of a more “meh” sentiment over where they are going you have this thing to disturb some presumed fundamentals in the popular opinion.