I worked out this was odd behavior on my OPNSense firewall NAT rules.

For some reason some syncing worked (eg. beehaw.org) but new connections failed. I’m not sure why. Maybe established sessions were kept alive.

Those rules haven’t changed in months and months, so I’ll chalk that up to “weirdness”.

Yeah, I’ve tried that a couple of times too.

And run through all the federation troubleshooting steps in the docs.

I thought that, and in the past I’ve been off for a day or two and always caught up.

This time I haven’t and it’s been a week or two since coming back online.